Sunday, Oct 2nd. Weather permitting.

I got a last minute “use it or lose it” WAF pass, good for Sunday only.

If the weather holds, I may pass, but if it looks better, I’m going to try either Bean Hollow for butts/rockies or Davenport for butts only.

Will post a final decision on Sat.

Anyone interested?  

JMairey, do you have any surf/wind intel for Sunday?  You were pretty dead on the last time.

Stuart

Well, it looks like a surfing weekend, same with next weekend (next is a repeat of that big south or so it is foretold by da blakestah).

sunday should be smaller than saturday with monday even better,  . so you got the right day for fishing this weekend.

the conditions are not ideal, but if anybody can squeak a halibut I'm betting on you!

There is no south swell, so if it were me, I'd take the davenport option, early before the wind is up.

I still think there's a halibut or two hiding in santa cruz. maybe a sunday sundown @ capitola would be a good option for somebody. I've heard halibut often bite well at the end of the day.

from the blakestah, my swami of wind and waves for many years:

Saturday: I'm not sure what winds are gonna do. Hopefully stay northerly and off the coast. Swell 6 ft with a wide range of periods and directions.
Sunday: Again, looks like winds MIGHT stay off the coast, with the swell dwindling down to 4-5 ft 10-12 sec 315 deg.
Monday: Winds finally calm, and seas abate, with 4-5 ft 8-10 sec 320 deg windswell petering out.

Dunno, the long-term forecast looks like a conga line of NW swells coming in by late next week...
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South swell notes.
Early charting indicates a substantial south swell on tap. The swell should have 17-20 second energy, come from 5000-6000 nautical miles away, 210 degrees. Next Thursday Oct 6 it should build to 2.5 ft 20 sec, and during Friday Oct 7 it will peak at 4 ft 20 sec...another macker!

I think I'll be consulting jmairey before my next ocean trip.  He seems to have a good read on the conditions.

Stu... buddy... you gotta get your wife to give you a pass on days when the conditions are good instead of marginal  

it's not me, it's the blakestah.

just put the blakestah on your list of favorites.

www.blakestah.com

ignore the ghetto-formatting, goofy name, and the fact it is free, this guy is a Ph.D. super-brain (and decent surfer too) with a lot of practice on forecasting, I have been using his site for years.  One of us should get him hooked on kayak fishing, then we are set!

The other good thing to do is to check the buoys the morning you leave, then again when you get back. Your brain will start to correlate buoys with launch conditions. It can be surprisingly accurate. I have done this for well over a decade for surf missions.  I'm pretty good from SF down to Moss Landing, but only on that day, I need the blakestah for the forecast.

I'm sleeping in.  The latest fcst looks bad.

Chuck,
I usually get a pass when its blowin 20 .

Stuart

sleeping in   is probably a good choice, but I think it is marginally fishable.

I surfed at 4-mile beach. it was not very big. wind didn't come up until well after 9. it was foggy tho. that's the main reason I didn't fish bean hollow this year. whenever it was flat, it was foggy so I went elsewhere.